Dr. Harold Osborne, the Zion family expert witness, did not altogether throw
out cocaine. "He admitted that Libby’s urine is a negative for the
purposes of the report," that is, (according to Robins) "calling it a
negative was an administrative decision by the Medical Examiner’s Office and
did not mean the absence of cocaine." (Robins, p. 269)
The Jury
believed that cocaine was implicated in Libby Zion’s death. But, this was a
tragic mistake. Let’s see why.
First we must
start slowly, from the ground up, so that everything will be made perfectly
clear. This will involve learning some very elementary statistics – statistics
being a way of telling us what data means.
So, let’s
start by looking at the word Mean. This is just a word statisticians use
for the Average. The Average or Mean is the total of all the numbers
reported divided by how many numbers there were in the first place. The Mean is
just one way statisticians describe the ‘middle of things.’ For example, two
groups of things can have the same Mean and yet they are different in the spread
of their values. The following example is adapted from David Voelker and Peter
Orton in Quick Review of Statistics Cliff Notes, 1993, p. 34. The only
things I’ve changed are that I call Employee A, ‘Edith’ and I call
Employee B, ‘Archie.’ Edith and Archie are both employed. We will take a
look at the earnings of Edith and Archie for 8 days.
|
Edith’s Earnings For 8 Days |
Archie’s Earnings For 8 Days |
|
$200 |
$200 |
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